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Osaka has done well this year with a 15-5 hardcourt record, but Kasatkina's 45-27 combined record for 2017 and 2018 beats Osaka's 42-27 combined record. Kasatkina sits 25 places higher than Osaka in the rankings, and the Russian's 66-38 career hardcourt record trumps Osaka's 109-72 career hardcourt record in terms of winning percentage (63% as compared to 60%). Kasatkina has won a WTA title whereas Osaka has yet to win a WTA title. The Russian is well suited to the slow hardcourts of Indian Wells that hamper the effectiveness of Osaka's power game.
My Pick: Daria Kasatkina to Win